TIMINGTRUTH.COM NEWSLETTER

2010-02-08

CURRENT SIGNAL TRENDS:

Last month we saw broad downward movement across most domestic and global markets.  Whether or not this movement is the beginning of a long term trend we must wait for our models to tell us.  Later in the month there seemed to be a change of direction but we don't trust our emotions.  Our models have signaled a SELL for some funds but not the majority.

NEW:

We have just added a Green Portfolio for our members who want their investments to impact the health of our planet.  We do suggest that those interested in the Green Portfolio funds maintain a cash position until our models indicate a clear trend for these funds.

LONG TERM  MARKET TRENDS:

This graph shows the relative performance of the individual funds in our Green Portfolio compared to the S&P 500 (SPY is green line).  Since last March we have been seeing an upward trend.  But since January the trend is not so clear.

OUT STRATEGY INSIGHTS:

January was a month that tested our resolve and trust in our models.  These are exactly the markets  which cause many investors to succumb to emotion and bail out of the market only to see it start an upward trend again.  Realizing their mistake they reinvest in the market.  Research has shown repeatedly that these instincts are often wrong and result in below average returns.  Our subscribers depend on our objective data-driven models and receive immediate notification of any changes indicated by these models.  We hope February will provide us with clear signals either way.  Just this year we experienced a similar market during the Jun 12 - Jul 12 period. 

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