TIMINGTRUTH.COM NEWSLETTER

2009-12-05

CURRENT SIGNAL TRENDS:

During October all our timing models continued to indicate BUY for each market index.  It seemed that the Emerging Markets signal might indicate a SELL but recent upward trend reversed that indication.  The on-line Performance Tools have been updated to show all timing signals through October.

LONG TERM  MARKET TRENDS:

From the chart above we see Emerging, Small Cap Value, and the S&P 500 continue in a long term trend.  Happily the recent downturn appears to be a short and mild correction. 

OUT STRATEGY INSIGHTS:

As we finish this year we want to emphasize the long term nature our the TimingTruth strategies.  As we have said many times before the TimingTruth strategies are simple by design.  We encourage investing in markets by using index funds because we know from academic research that trying to time individual stocks or even managed mutual funds produces no advantage over a Buy & Hold position in a market index.  We take that research one step farther by observing that the long term trends of a market index can be analytically determined.  We also know that most investors tend to either do nothing with their investments or if they sell it is usually based on emotion.  Our strategies address both of these problems.  Most people do nothing because they fear making a wrong decision. Often the people who sell do so because of fear; the fear of losing even more of their investment.  Our mathematical models provide data-driven, unemotional signals to buying or selling so your life is easier.

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